Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
53%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether McConnell will leave the Senate before his term expires in 2027, with current odds slightly favoring resignation over completing his full tenure.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 53% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -22 pt |
| 7d change | -16 pt |
| Market volume | $184K |
| Resolves by | 2027-01-03 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.