Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
76%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The market is asking whether Israel's parliament will be dissolved and new elections called within the next six months, with current odds suggesting this is more likely than not.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 76% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -9 pt |
| 7d change | +16 pt |
| Market volume | $146K |
| Resolves by | 2026-07-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.