Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
57%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The current odds suggest Rhoden, the incumbent Republican, is favored but faces meaningful competition in next year's South Dakota primary.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 57% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +1 pt |
| 7d change | +8 pt |
| Market volume | $68K |
| Resolves by | 2026-06-02 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.