SCIENCE
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2%
Trajectory (1y → today), from Polymarket price history
Context
This asks whether hantavirus will spread widely enough for the WHO to formally declare a pandemic by 2026; the current odds suggest markets see it as an unlikely but nonzero tail risk.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 2% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | -2 pt |
| Market volume | $16.2M |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-06 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.