SCIENCE
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
14%
Trajectory (1y → today), from Polymarket price history
Context
This question asks whether SpaceX's Doge-1 lunar satellite will successfully launch within the next two years, with current odds suggesting significant scheduling or technical uncertainty.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 14% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +3 pt |
| Market volume | $851K |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-06 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.