Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
28%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Venezuela's opposition leader will physically return to the country despite current government restrictions, with current odds suggesting it's unlikely but plausible.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 28% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -1 pt |
| 7d change | -16 pt |
| Market volume | $173K |
| Resolves by | 2026-07-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.