Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
21%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Ukraine and Russia will formalize any written peace agreement by end of 2026; current odds suggest most traders see a negotiated settlement as unlikely but not remote.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 21% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +1 pt |
| 7d change | -5 pt |
| Market volume | $2.4M |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.