Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
11%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Russian forces will control Sumy's railroad station by early 2027, with current odds suggesting most forecasters expect Ukraine to retain this strategic northeastern city.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 11% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | -1 pt |
| Market volume | $334K |
| Resolves by | 2027-03-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.