Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
59%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The market is asking whether Russian forces will control Lyman's railroad station by end of 2026, with current odds slightly favoring capture over the next two years.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 59% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -5 pt |
| 7d change | -5 pt |
| Market volume | $351K |
| Resolves by | 2025-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.