Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
18%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether the Federal Reserve will raise its benchmark interest rate to 4.25% or higher before 2027, with current odds suggesting markets see significant rate increases as unlikely.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 18% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +5 pt |
| 7d change | -8 pt |
| Market volume | $73K |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.