Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
82%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
Traders see it as quite likely that China's economy will grow between 4-5% next year, reflecting moderate but slower expansion than recent decades.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 82% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +2 pt |
| 7d change | +3 pt |
| Market volume | $176K |
| Resolves by | 2026-01-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.