Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
26%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether SpaceX will complete 160-179 launches during 2026; current odds suggest most forecasters expect either notably fewer or significantly more launches that year.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 26% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +1 pt |
| 7d change | +1 pt |
| Market volume | $94K |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.