Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
66%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market is pricing this outcome as better than even, favoured at roughly two-in-three probability. Odds fell slightly over the past day, suggesting modest recent confidence that Solana will stay above $60 during the window. At this level, traders are treating a dip to that price as more likely than not over the roughly 13-month period.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Solana's SOL/USDT pair on Binance touches $60 or lower on any 1-minute candle between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, ET timezone. It resolves No otherwise, on January 1, 2027.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 66% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -1 pt |
| 7d change | +1 pt |
| Market volume | $170K |
| Resolves by | 2027-01-01 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- Solana's price action and volatility over the period—sharp downward moves could trigger resolution at any point before year-end 2026.
- Significant time remains before the December 31, 2026 deadline, allowing odds to drift materially if market conditions shift.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
