Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
84%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The current odds suggest a significant likelihood that Iran's Supreme Leader's son will exercise de facto executive power by year-end 2026, versus other potential successors or continuity scenarios.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 84% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +1 pt |
| 7d change | +2 pt |
| Market volume | $3.0M |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.