Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?
11%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market prices this event at odds in the teens (unlikely), reflecting a 11% implied probability that Monero will reach $1000 during 2026. The odds rose slightly (+2 pts) over the past day, suggesting modest upward repricing, though the longer 7-day trend shows a 1-point decline. At this level, traders are treating a four-digit Monero price in 2026 as a low-probability outcome.
How this market resolves
The market resolves Yes if Monero (XMRUSDT) touches or exceeds $1000 on any 1-minute candle between January 5, 2026, 17:25 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET according to Binance data; otherwise it resolves No on January 1, 2027.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 11% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +2 pt |
| 7d change | -1 pt |
| Market volume | $110K |
| Resolves by | 2027-01-01 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- Major moves in Monero's spot price or volatility in coming months could shift sentiment sharply, given the binary outcome and specificity of the $1000 threshold.
- The resolution mechanism requires only a single 1-minute touch at or above $1000, not a sustained level — a brief spike would settle it Yes.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
