Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
2%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market currently assigns a remote chance to this outcome, with odds unchanged over the past day and flat over the week. At this level, traders view the sales target as unlikely to be met within the 2026 window, though not impossible.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if between January 1 and December 31, 2026, a total of 10,000 to 25,000 individuals purchase a Gold Card—a program offering a pathway to citizenship in exchange for a payment. The market settles on December 31, 2026.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 2% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +0 pt |
| Market volume | $116K |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- Official enrollment or sales data released by the Trump Administration would directly inform the settlement count.
- The resolution description appears incomplete in the provided data, so any clarification on how Gold Card purchases are counted could affect settlement.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
