Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
8%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
What the market is pricing
The market is pricing Tempo's token launch as a long shot at single-digit, unlikely odds. The probability fell slightly over the past day and has declined more substantially over the past week, suggesting declining conviction among traders that a token will launch by year-end 2026.
How this market resolves
This market resolves Yes if Tempo officially launches a governance token that is actively and publicly transferable and tradable by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Announcements alone do not qualify; only an actual, functional token launch counts.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 8% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | -3 pt |
| 7d change | -9 pt |
| Market volume | $171K |
| Resolves by | 2027-01-01 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-10 |
What could move it
- An official announcement from Tempo regarding token launch timing or plans could shift odds either direction depending on the specificity and credibility of the statement.
- As the December 31, 2026 deadline approaches, thinning time to execution could amplify volatility or widen conviction in either direction.
- Any material news about Tempo's business, governance structure, or funding could affect how traders assess the likelihood of a token launch.
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.
