Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
53%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
The market is roughly split on whether the Fed will hold rates steady through its next three consecutive meetings, reflecting genuine uncertainty about inflation momentum and economic strength.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 53% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +7 pt |
| Market volume | $73K |
| Resolves by | 2026-10-28 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.