Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
31%
Real price history (past month), from Polymarket. Down-sampled to 24 points.
Context
This asks whether Iran will publicly abandon the U.S.-Iran peace talks before month's end; current odds suggest negotiation collapse is unlikely but a meaningful possibility.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 31% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +24 pt |
| 7d change | +20 pt |
| Market volume | $519K |
| Resolves by | 2026-07-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-07 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.