ECONOMY
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
6%
Trajectory (1y → today), from Polymarket price history
Context
This asks whether the Federal Reserve will cut its benchmark interest rate to 3% or lower within the next two years, with current odds suggesting markets see this as unlikely.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 6% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | -1 pt |
| Market volume | $291K |
| Resolves by | 2026-12-31 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-06 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.