ECONOMY
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
2%
Trajectory (1y → today), from Polymarket price history
Context
Markets view a 50+ basis-point Fed rate cut after September 2026 as highly unlikely, suggesting confidence in economic stability or persistent inflation concerns at that horizon.
| Implied probability (Yes) | 2% |
|---|---|
| 24h change | +0 pt |
| 7d change | +0 pt |
| Market volume | $308K |
| Resolves by | 2026-09-16 |
| Source | Polymarket ↗ · as of 2026-07-06 |
This is an implied probability from a real-money prediction market (Polymarket), shown as information — not a forecast we endorse and not financial or trading advice. Markets can be thin or move fast; always check the source. Odds ≠ advice.